Housing

Hours Worked to Buy a Home

Median home price divided by median hourly wage (total hours needed)

Hours to Buy Median Home
Key events
Common Claim

Workers must work far more hours to afford a home than before 1971.

What the Data Shows

The number of hours a median worker must work to buy a median home has increased from ~5,700 hours in 1960 to ~15,700 hours in 2023. This nearly tripled, with the sharpest increases coming in the 2000s housing bubble and the post-2020 surge. The divergence reflects both rising home prices and stagnating real wages.

Perspectives

skeptic

Zoning and supply constraints, not fiat money, made housing expensive

If fiat money caused housing unaffordability, it would affect all housing markets equally. Instead, the crisis is concentrated in places with restrictive zoning. Texas, a fiat-money state, has maintained housing affordability through permissive building policies.

neutral

Supply constraints, wage stagnation, and monetary policy all contribute

This chart captures a genuinely alarming trend. A median worker now must work nearly 3x as long to buy a median home as in 1960. The causes are multi-factorial: zoning laws restrict supply, wages haven't kept pace, and low rates inflated prices. Monetary policy is one piece, but housing policy is the bigger lever.

believer

Fiat money made housing unaffordable for working Americans

The numbers are stark: 5,700 hours in 1960 versus 15,700 in 2023. The dollar lost 95% of its purchasing power since 1971, and housing prices — the largest purchase most Americans make — absorbed all of that devaluation and more. This is fiat money's most visible failure.

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Causal Factors

Housing supply constraints

30%

Restrictive zoning, NIMBYism, and land use regulations limit new housing construction in high-demand areas, driving up prices.

Joint Center for Housing Studies, Harvard

Stagnating median wages

25%

Median hourly wages grew only ~15% in real terms from 1970-2023, while home prices tripled. The numerator grows faster than the denominator.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Low interest rates inflating prices

20%

Low mortgage rates increased buying power, but pushed up prices as more money chased limited housing. The 2020-2021 near-zero rates sent prices to records.

Federal Reserve

Investor & institutional buying

15%

Institutional investors, REITs, and foreign buyers increased demand for housing as an investment asset, competing with first-time homebuyers.

National Association of Realtors

Construction cost increases

10%

Labor shortages, material costs (lumber, concrete), and regulatory compliance increased the cost of building new homes.

National Association of Home Builders

Data Source

Census Bureau (Median Home Price), BLS (Average Hourly Earnings), FRED (MSPUS, AHETPI)

View original data

Last updated: 2024-12

Key Events

1971

Nixon Shock

Dollar decoupled from gold; housing affordability begins deteriorating

1980

Volcker rates

High interest rates temporarily suppress home prices but increase monthly costs

2006

Housing bubble peak

Subprime lending pushes prices to unsustainable levels

2010

Post-crash low

Housing affordability briefly improves after the bubble bursts

2022

New affordability crisis

Post-pandemic price surge and rising rates create worst affordability in decades