Labor Market

Personal Savings Rate

Personal saving as percentage of disposable income

Savings Rate
Key events
Common Claim

Americans stopped saving after 1971 because inflation ate their purchasing power.

What the Data Shows

The savings rate declined from ~12% in the early 1970s to ~3% by 2005, then spiked during COVID. The decline tracks with credit card adoption, financial product availability, consumer culture, and the shift from defined-benefit pensions to 401(k)s.

Perspectives

skeptic

Credit access and consumer finance, not inflation

The savings rate was at its PEAK in 1971-73, contradicting the narrative that the gold standard's end immediately harmed savers. The decline came as financial innovation made consumption easier. Also, home equity and 401(k)s aren't captured in this metric, so actual wealth accumulation is understated.

neutral

Multiple forces reduced saving — credit, wealth effects, and culture

There's a genuine connection between easy money and the savings decline: low interest rates make saving less rewarding and borrowing cheaper. But the decline was gradual and driven by identifiable non-monetary factors. The COVID savings spike showed Americans can save when conditions warrant it.

believer

Inflation made saving irrational

When money loses purchasing power every year, saving becomes a losing proposition. The gold standard rewarded savers with stable purchasing power. Fiat money punishes savers and rewards borrowers, fundamentally changing economic behavior and encouraging a debt-driven consumption model.

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Causal Factors

Credit expansion & consumer finance

30%

Credit cards, auto loans, and buy-now-pay-later made consumption possible without saving first. US credit card debt exceeds $1 trillion.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Wealth effect from housing & stocks

25%

Rising home values and stock portfolios made Americans feel wealthier, reducing the perceived need to save from income.

Federal Reserve

Shift from pensions to 401(k)s

20%

Defined-benefit pensions (employer-managed) were replaced by 401(k)s (individual-managed), and many workers don't contribute enough.

Department of Labor

Stagnating real wages

15%

With real wages flat for many workers, there's less room to save after covering rising costs of housing, healthcare, and education.

Economic Policy Institute

Consumer culture & marketing

10%

Advertising expenditure and consumer culture shifted norms from thrift toward consumption.

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Data Source

Federal Reserve (FRED), Bureau of Economic Analysis

View original data

Last updated: 2024-09

Key Events

1971

Nixon Shock

Gold standard ends — savings rate was actually near its PEAK

1978

401(k) created

Revenue Act of 1978 creates the 401(k), shifting retirement from pensions to individual savings

1985

Credit card boom

Supreme Court ruling in Marquette v. First of Omaha enables nationwide credit card lending

2005

Pre-crisis low

Savings rate hits 2.6% as housing wealth effect reduces saving

2020

COVID spike

Stimulus checks and lockdowns drive savings rate to 33% (April 2020)